Why firms should be cautious in using experience curves as a strategic guide in their operations?
The equation for the slope of an experience curve is (1/m-1)*(1-exp(-kg*t)) or
(SF-1)*(1-exp(-kg*t)), where: t is time typically years, kg is the exponential growth rate
constant, SF is scale factor from the slope of an xy plot of scale of the facility vs investment
in constant dollars, m is the number of dimensions of the production facility eg. 1 for linear
like a pipe line, 2 for an area facility like a plate and frame filter press, and 3 for a volumetric
facility like a tank. For a mature product slope becomes (1/m-1) or (SF-1).