Experience Curve of H1N1 Swine Flu

August 3, 2009 Uncategorized | Comments (0) Don @ 6:16 pm



The price of the flu is death of a fraction (shown below) of those infected.  The volume is those that have been infected.  The experience curve of the h1n1 flu follows:

recent-us-deaths

Which has slope of 2.

The number of dimensions m, normally being used is: Slope=1/m-1, hence in this case 1/m=2+1=3.

However, we are not infecting the virus it is the other way around.  Hence from the viruses point of view the number of dimensions is 1/m not m, and therefore=3.  It is a volumetric production rate.  Presumably the graph of deaths vs. invections will continue until the number of uninfected people is beginning to diminish, somewhere over half of the population.

The death rate per thousand infected people (the “fraction”) has been rising but recently has been diminishingas shown in:

recent-us-deaths1


Tags: Add new tag, Bruce Henderson, CHEMTECH, Death, Donald I. Garnett, economic ecosystems, economic growth, economic theory, Economy as Ecosystem, ecosystem, Encyclopedia of Chemical Processing and Design, experience curve, Experience Curves, geometry, graphs, gravity, macroeconomics, math, mathematics, Michael Rothschild, money, Perspective on Experience, price, scale factors, Swine flu, time, us dollar
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