Experience Curves » Death http://experiencecurves.com/ecblog The Nature of Economic Experience Fri, 06 Apr 2012 04:20:02 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 en hourly 1 Experience Curve of H1N1 Swine Flu http://experiencecurves.com/ecblog/2009/08/03/experience-curve-of-h1n1-swine-flu/ http://experiencecurves.com/ecblog/2009/08/03/experience-curve-of-h1n1-swine-flu/#comments Tue, 04 Aug 2009 02:16:34 +0000 Don http://experiencecurves.com/ecblog/?p=480

The price of the flu is death of a fraction (shown below) of those infected.  The volume is those that have been infected.  The experience curve of the h1n1 flu follows:

recent-us-deaths

Which has slope of 2.

The number of dimensions m, normally being used is: Slope=1/m-1, hence in this case 1/m=2+1=3.

However, we are not infecting the virus it is the other way around.  Hence from the viruses point of view the number of dimensions is 1/m not m, and therefore=3.  It is a volumetric production rate.  Presumably the graph of deaths vs. invections will continue until the number of uninfected people is beginning to diminish, somewhere over half of the population.

The death rate per thousand infected people (the “fraction”) has been rising but recently has been diminishingas shown in:

recent-us-deaths1

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